The economists and central bankers of the US Federal Reserve have a perplexing challenge. The US economy has picked up in terms of GDP growth, but inflation is below the Goldilocks target of 2%. How could economic models be wrong? What, if anything, has changed? It has spurred a serious discussion that suggests that US economy operates differently now. I think the answer is obvious – DEFLATION! We have deflation, just not in an absolute form. We have deflation in the economy like you might have bugs in your house. They are not everywhere, just in places. Overall, the house is mostly clean, but there are some bugs.
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Iceland: Economic and Business Lessons – Fire and Ice This summer, I had the pleasure of visiting Iceland with my family. It is an amazing country in so many ways. In addition to its unmatched natural beauty of mountains, glaciers, seashores, and active volcanoes, visiting offers some great lesson in economics and business. Iceland Has […]
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The 2016 Presidential election has revealed, in part the dramatically different plights and outlooks of Americans. I believe these differences are rooted in social-economic realities that are not obvious to many of us living in prosperous bubbles. I have assembled a set of maps and graphs that help us understand these drastic differences. In the […]
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Risk Predictions for the New Year and Interesting Business Cases in 2016 With 2016 just about a week old, I would like to share some risk issues that are interesting to consider in 2016. Federal Reserve Interest Rate Increase Although delayed many times, the Federal Reserve did finally increase the benchmark interest rate. However, inflation […]
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